A Nowcasting System for Hydrometeorological Hazard Assessment of Landslides and Flooding – Part 1: Conceptual Formulation

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.11137/1982-3908_2024_47_62978

Keywords:

Nowcasting, Hydroestimator/NOAA, Hydrometeorological hazards

Abstract

This study presents a novel very short-term hydro-meteorological forecasting system integrating precipitation data from Hydroestimator/NOAA. The system employs a variational version of the TopModel hydrological model alongside landslide and flood hazard models. Operating in continuous 15-minute cycles, it produces scalar and probabilistic two-dimensional hazard fields to support decision-making during extreme events across the State of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, at a spatial resolution of 4 km. The evaluation of this system considers performance indicators based on contingency tables. Emphasizing a balanced approach between computational efficiency and product utility, this study aims to provide a robust analysis of the system's predictive capabilities in addressing hydro-meteorological challenges.

Author Biography

Hugo Abi Karam, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Instituto de Geociências, Departamento de Meteorologia

Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Instituto de Geociências, Departamento de Meteorologia, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil

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Published

2024-12-10

Issue

Vol. 47 (2024): Anuário do Instituto de Geociências

Section

Meteorology

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