IMPACTOS DA MUDANÇA ESTRUTURAL DA ECONOMIA BRASILEIRA SOBRE O SEU CRESCIMENTO // STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN BRAZILIAN ECONOMY AND ITS EFFECTS UPON ECONOMIC GROWTH
Keywords:
crescimento econômico, mudança estrutural, indústria, modelos autorregressão vetorial (VAR) // economic growth, structural change, industrial sector, vector autoregression model (VAR)Abstract
RESUMO: Na abordagem estruturalista, o papel da indústria tem destaque na dinâmica da economia devido a fatores inerentes a esse setor. Dentre os autores clássicos que se destacam nesse campo, podemos ressaltar as contribuições de Raúl Prebisch, Celso Furtado, Albert Hirschman e Nicholas Kaldor, os quais, ao longo de suas respectivas obras, apresentaram valiosas interpretações sobre a dinâmica do desenvolvimento econômico e enfatizaram a importância do papel da indústria de transformação nesse processo. Com base nos argumentos iniciais desses autores, o presente estudo busca analisar os efeitos da mudança estrutural da economia brasileira sobre o seu desempenho, com ênfase no setor industrial, para o período 1948-2007.
ABSTRACT: In the structuralist approach, the industry sector has an outstanding function in the dynamics of an economy due to the fact several features are intrinsic to this economic sector. Among other important authors in this field, Raúl Prebisch, Celso Furtado, Albert Hirschman, and Nicholas Kaldor have given significant contributions to the understanding of this complex issue. These authors have studied extensively the relationship between economic development dynamics and structural change, placing emphasis on the role played by the industrial sector in this process. Based on the initial arguments of the above-cited authors, the present paper aims at investigating the effects of the Brazilian economy structural change on its performance, highlighting the industrial sector role in the period 1948-2007.
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