O SISTEMA GERAL DE PREFERÊNCIAS DOS EUA: UMA ESTIMATIVA DOS IMPACTOS SOBRE AS EXPORTAÇÕES BRASILEIRAS // THE U.S. GENERALIZED SYSTEM OF PREFERENCES: AN ESTIMATE OF THE IMPACTS ON BRAZILIAN EXPORTS
Keywords:
Sistema Geral de Preferências (SGP), modelo de equilíbrio parcial, exportações brasileiras // Generalized System of Preferences (GSP), partial equilibrium model, Brazilian exportsAbstract
RESUMO: O Sistema Geral de Preferências (SGP) dos EUA, concedido de forma unilateral, é um dos programas com tarifa preferencial mais importantes para o Brasil, mas recentemente vem sendo objeto de apreensão devido às ameaças de exclusão do Brasil entre os países benefi ciários. Este trabalho tem como objetivo estimar, com base no modelo de equilíbrio parcial computável, a perda das exportações brasileiras para os EUA se o Brasil for eliminado do SGP. Os resultados obtidos indicam uma queda nas exportações de aproximadamente US$ 403 milhões, sendo concentrada em um pequeno número de setores.
ABSTRACT: The U.S. Generalized System of Preferences (GSP), a concession offered unilaterally, is one of the most important preferential tariff programs to Brazil, but recently has been causing some apprehension due to threats to exclude this country from the list of beneficiaries. This study has the objective to estimate, based on the partial computational equilibrium model, the loss of the Brazilian exports to the USA if Brazil is excluded from the GSP. The results obtained imply a decrease of US$ 403 million in exports, concentrated on a small number of sectors.
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